EFFECT OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC IN THE TOTAL MONTHLY DEATH COUNTS IN THE YEAR 2020 FOR ALL BRAZILIAN STATES

Covid-19 spread rapidly in Brazil, where in some states of the Brazilian federation the effects of COVID-19 in the monthly death counts were very accentuated in the year 2020 but in some states this effect was not very pronounced. Brazil is a very large country with great differences among regions in terms of Human Development Index (HDI), demographic density (inhabitants per km2) and per capita household monthly income among many other factors which could lead to different death rates due to COVID-19 in each state. It is an ecological study, considering monthly death counts of in each of the 27 states of Brazil in the period 2015-2020. Also, it was considered beta regression models to determine if some covariates such as Human Development Index (HDI), demographic density (inhabitants per km2) and per capita household monthly income affect the rates of COVID-19 deaths (number of COVID-19 deaths/total number of deaths and number of COVID-19 deaths/population of the state).